Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.190196 0.212011 0.234596 0.259668 0.286668 0.314815 0.346322
2025-01-05 0.160796 0.190598 0.222802 0.260006 0.301615 0.346534 0.398505
2025-01-12 0.139060 0.174017 0.213227 0.260077 0.314134 0.374157 0.445442
2025-01-19 0.121109 0.159387 0.203816 0.258527 0.323403 0.397205 0.486807
2025-01-26 0.108375 0.149361 0.198424 0.260477 0.335826 0.423330 0.531555
2025-02-02 0.100618 0.144472 0.198411 0.268218 0.354705 0.456892 0.585226
2025-02-09 0.091190 0.136480 0.193718 0.269492 0.365219 0.480207 0.626724
2025-02-16 0.083970 0.130644 0.191130 0.272870 0.377957 0.506048 0.671349
2025-02-23 0.080101 0.128901 0.193525 0.282396 0.398338 0.541389 0.727933
2025-03-02 0.072303 0.121031 0.187197 0.280020 0.403136 0.557111 0.760236
2025-03-09 0.066244 0.115108 0.183033 0.280095 0.410790 0.576256 0.796813
2025-03-16 0.060328 0.108890 0.178010 0.278604 0.416074 0.592200 0.829326
2025-03-23 0.056664 0.105984 0.177739 0.283930 0.431004 0.621456 0.880160
2025-03-30 0.052099 0.101302 0.174598 0.285018 0.440118 0.643213 0.921646
2025-04-06 0.047802 0.096668 0.171207 0.285489 0.448237 0.663655 0.961611
2025-04-13 0.043433 0.091522 0.166697 0.284042 0.453492 0.680214 0.996584
2025-04-20 0.040342 0.088250 0.164815 0.286250 0.463761 0.703512 1.040628
2025-04-27 0.038890 0.087695 0.167090 0.294613 0.482824 0.738903 1.101121
2025-05-04 0.036061 0.084431 0.164848 0.296014 0.491851 0.760658 1.143575
2025-05-11 0.033916 0.082221 0.164151 0.299654 0.504078 0.786882 1.192268
2025-05-18 0.033188 0.082606 0.167689 0.309870 0.526020 0.826770 1.259863
2025-05-25 0.030171 0.078317 0.163192 0.307331 0.529070 0.840339 1.291735
2025-06-01 0.027861 0.075194 0.160467 0.307415 0.535896 0.859174 1.330912